Welcome to The Ringer’s NBA Odds Machine for the 2020-21 postseason. Based on team strength as measured by point differential—a historically strong predictor of future success—with adjustments for individual wrinkles like injuries and schedules, the Odds Machine includes four features: a breakdown of each day’s games, an analysis of those games’ importance, a look at each team’s likelihood of advancing through the various playoff rounds, and an examination of each series, game by game. The Odds Machine will update every day until a champion is crowned, so be sure to check back throughout the coming months as the league’s best teams battle for a title.
The chart below shows each team’s likelihood of advancing through each playoff round and, ultimately, winning the 2020-21 title. We’re simulating the rest of the postseason every day, so check back daily for the latest projections.
Playoff Odds
Team | Make Second Round | Make Third Round | Make Finals | Win Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
Team | Make Second Round | Make Third Round | Make Finals | Win Title |
Bucks | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Suns | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
Hawks | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
Clippers | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
Nets | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Nuggets | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
76ers | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Jazz | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Heat | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Lakers | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Knicks | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mavericks | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Celtics | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Trail Blazers | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Wizards | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Grizzlies | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
How likely is your favorite team to win in a sweep? What about losing in five, or winning in six, or going all the way to a nail-biter Game 7? These charts show the chances for each possible outcome in every series.
Suns vs. Bucks
Outcome | Odds |
---|---|
Outcome | Odds |
Suns in 4 | n/a |
Suns in 5 | n/a |
Suns in 6 | n/a |
Suns in 7 | n/a |
Bucks in 4 | n/a |
Bucks in 5 | n/a |
Bucks in 6 | 100% |
Bucks in 7 | n/a |