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New arrivals Brandon Belt, Jesse Winker headline 2023 fantasy baseball all-sleeper team

In any fantasy baseball draft, there will be situations that call for a swing-for-the-fences pick. A well-selected sleeper who outperforms his preseason projection could potentially be the difference in winning a league championship.

I’ve landed on a few favorites this season I believe could fit the bill. They're not going particularly early in drafts – and a couple are going really late – but they have the best chance to generate significant returns for anyone willing to take a shot on them ... before someone else does. 

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Catcher

Yasmani Grandal slashed just .202/.301/.269 last year and hasn't played 100 games in a season since 2019, but he's healthy and raking this spring.

Yasmani Grandal, White Sox. He was injured last season (back, knee) but is healthy this spring on what should be a much better offense. Grandal hit at least 20 home runs from 2016 to 2019, then hit 23 in 2021.

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First base

After 12 seasons in San Francisco, Brandon Belt looks strange in a Blue Jays uniform. But he has a .500 OBP this spring as Toronto's designated hitter.

Brandon Belt, Blue Jays. Another injury risk, but he had a career-high 29 homers in 2021 and is moving to Toronto, where the fences have been moved in. His barrel rate was in the 94th percentile each of the past two seasons.

Second base

Thairo Estrada played in a career-high 140 games for the Giants last season, hitting .260 with 71 runs scored and 62 RBI.

Thairo Estrada, Giants. He had his first season playing more than 55 games in 2022 and hit 14 home runs with 21 steals. Now he's the unquestioned starter at age 27.

Third base

Switch-hitting infielder Jeimer Candelario replaced Vladimir Guerrero Jr. on the Dominican Republic's roster for the 2023 World Baseball Classic.

Jeimer Candelario, Nationals. The former Tiger had 61 extra-base hits 2021 (42 doubles, 16 HR) in pitcher-friendly Detroit. In Washington, he’ll play every day in a much better park.

Shortstop

Speedy shortstop CJ Abrams is getting a long look in the Nationals' leadoff spot this spring.

CJ Abrams, Nationals. The headliner in the Juan Soto trade is just 22. He’s a potential leadoff man and a threat to steal every time he gets on base.

Outfield

Jesse Winker struggled in his only season with the Mariners, hitting just .219 with 14 home runs and 53 RBI in 136 games.

Jesse Winker, Brewers. Moving back to the NL after an injury-riddled season in Seattle (neck, knee). The season before, he hit .305/.394/.556 with the Reds.

Harrison Bader, Yankees. He’ll begin the season on the IL, but there’s potential for a big jump in steals after a career-high 17 last season. Also slugged .460 in 2021.

Oscar Colas, White Sox. The Cuban signee is 24 but has tools to be the starter in right field (.927 OPS at Class AA last year).

Starting pitcher

White Sox pitcher Lucas Giolito saw his ERA take a 1.37-point jump last season, but his Fielding Independent Pitching only went up by 0.27 points, in part because of a much higher average on balls in play (.340).

Lucas Giolito, White Sox. He had a string of three straight impressive seasons snapped when his ERA ballooned to 4.90. But his strikeout rate was still above 9.00 and he was still missing bats (71st percentile).

Freddy Peralta, Brewers. We saw what he can do in a full season when he posted a 2.81 ERA and 195 K’s in 2021. Fully healthy this spring after only pitching 78 innings last year. Strikeout rate was still near 10 K/9 last year, after being over 12 from 2019-21.

Tyler Mahle, Twins. The veteran right-hander had a shoulder injury end his season early in 2022, but he's fully healthy and has added a slider this spring. Struck out 210 in 180 innings with 3.75 ERA in Cincinnati in 2021.

Tyler Anderson, Angels. He limited hard contact in his breakout 2022 season extremely well, a skill that can carry over to his new home in the O.C. Doesn’t get a lot of strikeouts, but gets ahead of hitters and had 2.57 ERA and 1.00 WHIP … which no one seems to believe happened. Had a 95th percentile chase rate last year (and 94th in 2021).

Relief pitcher

Jose Leclerc should get the first shot at closing for the Rangers this season.

Jose Leclerc, Rangers. Back a full year after Tommy John surgery and back to throwing 96. The signing of veteran Will Smith might be a bit problematic, but generally righties have the edge over lefties in closing situations.

Many of these picks were inspired by and featured on the March 12 edition of the Fantasy Pros podcast. 

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